DAY TRADER

Will Commodities Please Experience a Major Correction?

A lot of initial public offerings (IPOs) have hit the market recently, and that’s no surprise—the stock market’s been strong. Times have been tough in the investment banking industry, but this changed recently with the much improved sentiment in the broader market. We can never forget that everything in the investment business is about perception. It’s not a unique industry in this regard, but confidence in the system (rather than the individual security) is how the secondary markets (otherwise known as the equity and bond markets) hold themselves together. Without confidence, the entire system breaks down. Recent history is a very good example.

The broader market is pulling back, but this is well deserved and I feel the longer-term uptrend remains intact. Commodities especially have been due for a major correction and, although it will be painful if you’re long the sector, I hope the correction is pronounced. This would create an opportune entry point for new positions.

The inflation issue is beginning to present itself in Europe and this isn’t a good sign. And, even though agricultural commodities prices are pulling back a bit now, they’ve still been on a tear over the last several months. This pricing pressure on food stuffs will only add to the inflation data later this year. You can bet that your food is going to get a lot more expensive over the coming quarters.

I’d be buying the S&P 500 Index in the current environment, especially if the current retrenchment turns into a real correction. At the speculative end of the stock market, I still like mining companies and stocks—senior producers and junior miners. I also like a number of U.S.-listed Chinese companies, but this group has been lagging the rest of the market because of accounting worries. In some cases, this perception is warranted. In most cases, it is not and the situation has created some extremely good values. Despite China’s desire to cool its economy and inflation, I think Chinese equities are going to accelerate later this year.

I’m not too enthusiastic about buying individual large-cap stocks at this time. All the good, high-dividend-paying companies have already experienced a dramatic price run. Some veteran Wall Street stock-pickers are now musing about a major bull market going into 2013. This is certainly a plausible scenario if earnings growth momentum remains and there are no major confidence shocks to the system.

If you want to know where the stock market is going to go over the near term, the best indicator continues to be railroad stocks. This is still very much an economic recovery rally in stocks.

Read more on:

http://www.profitconfidential.com/todays-profit-confidential/gold-investing-the-time-to-jump-back-in-is-very-near/

http://www.profitconfidential.com/ahead-of-the-street/will-commodities-please-experience-a-major-correction/

http://www.profitconfidential.com/economic-recovery/the-best-performing-stocks-of-2010%E2%80%A6what-about-2011/

Word of the Day: Commodities

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Agricultural Commodities as Energy Carriers $119.48 The food crisis. By the first half of 2008 agricultural commodity prices reached their highest levels in 30 years. Agricultural commodities are particularly sensitive to changes in demand or supply, making the welfare effects of changes large. Soaring food prices was on the political agenda world wide, and the world faced a situation that could augment the adverse effects of poverty. Several explanations of the serious situation were presented, however, the quantitative research within this field has been limited. This book provides insight in the price relationships between various agricultural commodities, on one hand, and energy prices on the other. Long run relationships, short run dynamics and structural breaks are examined with a time series econometric approach based on data from 1995 2008. This book provides a firstclass platform for specification of structural models that can quantify the underlying reasons behind the new structure and linkages better than time series econometric methods. The analysis should add value for those trying to understand the development in the price formation of the agricultural commodity markets the last decade. Author: Lislebo, Ole Binding Type: Paperback Number of Pages: 124 Publication Date: 2010/08/29 Language: English Dimensions: 6.00 x 9.02 x 0.29 inches

Red River Commodities Red River Commodities 20lb Sunflower Hearts 47025 $36.84 20lb sunflower hearts A no-waste feeding product that is as widely accepted as oil sunflower Offer it straight or blend with other seed Attracts finches, cardinals, nuthatches, juncos, titmice, and woodpeckers 20 lb. poly bag Brand #: Red River Commodities 47025 UPC: 737539003201 Keywords: bird seed sunflower birdseed hearts

Red River Commodities Red River Commodities 7.5lb No-waste Seed 503 $8.46 7.5lb no-waste seed A blend of hulled sunflower seeds, free of fillers Offer in a ranch or platform feeder and on ground platform feeder to attract juncos, towhees, quail, sparrows, and doves Also attracts goldfinches and indigo buntings 7.5 lb. poly bag Brand #: Red River Commodities 503 UPC: 737539005038 Keywords: sunflower seed birdseed bird

Red River Commodities Red River Commodities 7.5lb Sunflower Chips 568 $20.38 7.5lb sunflower chips 100% consumable seed that will attract American goldfinches, purple and house finches, chickadees, nuthatches, woodpeckers Since hulls are removed there will be no messy build up of shells under the feeder 7.5 lb. poly bag Brand #: Red River Commodities 568 UPC: 737539005687 Keywords: sunflower chips bird seed chip hearts &

A Market for Four Thousand Commodities $22.95 The Shelf2Life Trains Railroads Collection provides a unique opportunity for researchers and railroad enthusiasts to easily access and explore pre1923 titles focusing on the history, culture and experience of railroading. From the revolution of the steam engine to the thrill of early travel by rail, railroads opened up new opportunities for commerce, American westward expansion and travel. These books provide a unique view of the impact of this type of transportation on our urban and rural societies and cultures, while allowing the reader to share the experience of early railroading in a new and unique way. The Trains Railroads Collection offers a valuable perspective on this important and fascinating aspect of modern industrialization. Author: Electric Railway Journal, Railway Journa Binding Type: Paperback Number of Pages: 78 Publication Date: 2010/04/25 Language: English Dimensions: 7.44 x 9.68 x 0.16 inches

Commodities for Dummies By Bouchentouf, Amine $28.26 Each book covers all the necessary information a beginner needs to know about a particular topic, providing an index for easy reference and using the series signature set of symbols to clue the reader in to key topics, categorized under such titles as Tip, Remember, Warning, Technical Stuff and True Story. Original. Author: Bouchentouf, Amine Series Title: For Dummies (Business Personal Finance) Publication Date: 2011/06/07 Number of Pages: 358 Binding Type: Paperback Language: English Depth: 1.00 Width: 7.75 Height: 9.75

World Commodities and World Currency $41.55 Even today, 20 years after his death, Benjamin Graham reigns as one of the greatest investment thinkers of the 20th century. Now readers can rediscover Grahams visionary 1944 treatise on achieving growth and stability in postwar economy through a global plan for allocating raw materials. This newly republished classic is an essential addition to any investors collection. Author: Graham, Benjamin Binding Type: Paperback Number of Pages: 200 Publication Date: 2011/10/15 Language: English Dimensions: 9.02 x 5.98 x 0.42 inches

Some Great Commodities (1922) $31.68 Also Authored By Beatrice Bulla, Anna M. Michener, And Esther G. Tomkins. Author: Miller, Edith M./ McIsaac, Robert M./ Taylor, Louis C. Binding Type: Paperback Number of Pages: 300 Publication Date: 2008/10/01 Language: English Dimensions: 9.00 x 6.00 x 0.63 inches

Red River Commodities Red River Commodities Nyjer W seed Sock 678 $4.43 Nyjer w/seed sock Finches of all varieties will be attracted to the mesh bag filled with Nyjer (thistle) seed Features a drawstring that can be used for hanging Can be refilled; will hold up to 10 oz. of Nyjer (thistle) seed Brand #: Red River Commodities 678 UPC: 737539006783 Keywords: feeder thistle pouch

Red River Commodities Red River Commodities 10pk High Energy Suet 591 $11.23 10pk high energy suet Economical 10 pack high energy suet (10) 11 oz., individually wrapped, easy open/no mess convenience packs Brand #: Red River Commodities 591 UPC: 737539005915 Keywords: bird food suet high energy feed

Red River Commodities Red River Commodities 7.5lb Nyjer Plus Seed 590 $14.94 7.5lb nyjer plus seed A blend of Nyjer (thistle) seed and sunflower chips to attract finches Offer in tube feeders 7.5 lb. poly bag Brand #: Red River Commodities 590 UPC: 737539005052 Keywords: finch food birdseed thistle seed nyjer

Red River Commodities Red River Commodities 5lb Oil Sunflower Seed 593 $6.61 5lb oil sunflower seed Premium seed with high oil content provides energy and is the top choice of chickadees, titmice, nuthatches, cardinals, finches, and grosbeaks 5 lb. poly bag Brand #: Red River Commodities 593 UPC: 737539005861 Keywords: sunflower seed food bird feed

How Commodities Trading Works By La Bella, Laura $45.71 Describes the history of commodities trading, how it affects the global economy, the balance of commodity supply and demand, and the future of this form of trading due to growing globalization. Author: La Bella, Laura Series Title: Real World Economics Publication Date: 2011/01/15 Number of Pages: 80 Binding Type: Library Grade Level: 79 Language: English Depth: 0.50 Width: 6.75 Height: 9.50

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Red River Commodities Red River Commodities 25lb Strp Sunflower Seed 23002-D $28.58 25lb strp sunflower seed Stripe sunflower seed has good oil content and provides larger birds an additional menu option and lessens the competition for the small birds food source Attracts jays, cardinals, grosbeaks, and woodpeckers 25 lb. poly bag Brand #: Red River Commodities 23002-D UPC: 737539002259 Keywords: stripe sunflower bird seed birdseed

The Commodities Investor: A Beginner’s Guide to Diversifying Your Portfolio with Commodities $20.81 No Synopsis Available

Captives as Commodities : The Transatlantic Slave Trade $18.25 No Synopsis Available

Stolen Fruit; The Tropical Commodities Disaster $17.45 No Synopsis Available

A Handbook of Primary Commodities in the Global Economy $43 No Synopsis Available

Commodities and Capabilities By Sen, Amartya Kumar $47.45 Author: Sen, Amartya Kumar Publication Date: 1999/09/09 Binding Type: Paperback Language: English Depth: 0.25 Width: 5.25 Height: 8.25

A Geography of Commodities by H, Alnwick [Paperback] $26.07 This is a reproduction of a book published before 1923. This book may have occasional imperfections such as missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. that were either part of the original artifact, or were introduced by the scanning process. We believe this work is culturally important, and despite the imperfections, have elected to bring it back into print as part of our continuing commitment to the preservation of printed works worldwide. We appreciate your understanding of the imperfections in the preservation process, and hope you enjoy this valuable book. Author: H, Alnwick Binding Type: Paperback Number of Pages: 156 Publication Date: 2011/08/28 Language: English Dimensions: 9.69 x 7.44 x 0.33 inches

Census of War Commodities. by Anonymous [Paperback] $23.73 This is a reproduction of a book published before 1923. This book may have occasional imperfections such as missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. that were either part of the original artifact, or were introduced by the scanning process. We believe this work is culturally important, and despite the imperfections, have elected to bring it back into print as part of our continuing commitment to the preservation of printed works worldwide. We appreciate your understanding of the imperfections in the preservation process, and hope you enjoy this valuable book. Author: Anonymous Binding Type: Paperback Number of Pages: 86 Publication Date: 2010/08/01 Language: English Dimensions: 9.69 x 7.44 x 0.18 inches

Commodities, Governance and Economic Development under Globalization $105.1 No Synopsis Available

A Traders First Book on Commodities By Garner, Carley $37.23 Author: Garner, Carley Subtitle: An Introduction to the Worlds Fastest Growing Market Publication Date: 2010/01/07 Number of Pages: 244 Binding Type: Hardcover Language: English Depth: 1.00 Width: 7.50 Height: 5.50

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Dd Commodities Ltd. Special Finch Food 381050 $34.66 Finch food. All natural made with premium seeds. Attracts finches chickadees nuthatches titmice exotic parakeets and other outdoor pets. No chemical preservatives. s. Length: 14. Width: 2. Height: 10

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How to Make Money Trading Stocks Commodities $19.9 Author: Sranko, George R. Binding Type: Paperback Number of Pages: 160 Publication Date: 1999/12/01 Language: English Dimensions: 9.22 x 6.06 x 0.42 inches

Trader’s First Book on Commodities, A: An Introduction to The World’s Fastest Growing Market $29.14 No Synopsis Available

Irradiation of Food Commodities : Techniques, Applications, Detection, Legislation, Safety and Consumer Opinion $133.72 No Synopsis Available

Modified and Controlled Atmospheres for the Storage, Transportation, and Packaging of Horticultural Commodities $191.05 No Synopsis Available

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Dd Commodities Ltd. Nut N Berry Birdfood 366050 $31.98 Birdfood. Premium wild birdfood blended to attract and feed the most desirable outdoor pets. Low mess mix. No millet milo or cracked corn. s. Length: 14. Width: 2. Height: 10

Dd Commodities Ltd. 8 Lb Songbird Food 377080 $36.45 Songbird food. Premium wild bird food blended to attract and feed the most desirable outdoor pets. Contains sunflower seeds safflower seeds peanuts dried cherries and dried raisins. 8 lbs. Length: 17. Width: 3. Height: 12

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Dd Commodities Ltd. Deck Porch Nft. Patio Birdfood 374050 $35.39 Deck porch n patio birdfood. Blended to keep your outdoor living area clean. Attracts songbirds cardinals grosbeaks finches jays nuthatches and other outdoor pets. Can be used in hopper large holed tube platform or wire mesh. s. Length: 14. Width: 2. Height: 10

Dd Commodities Ltd. 8 Lb Fruit N Berry Birdfood 365080 $38.71 Birdfood. Blended to attract and feed songbirds cardinals finches jays thrushes buntings and other outdoor pets. Contains sunflower seeds peanuts dried apples cherries cranberries blueberries and raisins. No chemical preservatives. 8 lbs. Length: 17. Width: 3. Height: 12

Mid America Commodities Cfs1883 Crackle Glazed Rectangle Platter In Cream $64.99 Crackle Glazed Rectangle Platter in cream color 44 dishwasher and microwave safe. Top Quality Manufactured to the highest specifications. High quality components. Satisfaction ensured.

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Red River Commodities NAD00459 National Audubon 18pound Woodpecker Bird Seed $42.5 Woodpecker blend is a premium seed and nut blend selected from many of the Woodpecker s favorite foods without any filler seeds.

Mid America Commodities Cfs1882 Crackle Glazed Rectangle Platter In Green $64.99 Material: Ceramic. Finish: Reactive Glaze. Includes: Platters. Care And Cleaning: Dishwashersafe Microwave Safe. Dimensions: Length: 16.5 L x 11.0 W x 2.0 D.

Mid America Commodities Cfs1873 Crackle Glazed Salad Bowl In Cream $64.99 Crackle Glazed Salad Bowl in cream color dishwasher and microwave safe

Mid America Commodities Cfs1872 Crackle Glazed Salad Bowl In Green $64.99 Crackle Glazed Salad Bowl in green color 44 dishwasher and microwave safe. Top Quality Manufactured to the highest specifications. High quality components. Satisfaction ensured.

D D Commodities DDC365200 Wild Delight 20pound Fruit Berry $55.5 A special premium blend of seeds and fruit for all seed and fruiteating birds. Primarily attracts Songbirds Cardinals Grosbeaks Finches jays Thrushes Buntings and other outdoor pets.

D D Commodities DDC366200 Wild Delight 20pound Nut N Berry $52.43 A premium outdoor pet food containing hulled seeds sunflower seeds nutmeats raisins and fruits. Attracts Songbirds Woodpeckers Cardinals Titmice Grosbeaks Finches Jays Thrushes Buntings Nuthatches and other outdoor pets.

D D Commodities DDC376140 Wild Delight 13.5pound Cardinal Food $48.28 Wild Delight Cardinal is a premium blend of seed nuts and fruit formulated to attract cardinals and other songbirds including grosbeaks titmice thrushes and jays amongst others. Contains real cherries and raisins added vitamins minerals amino acids and electrolytes for year round feeding.

D D Commodities DDC376150 Wild Delight 15pound Cardinal Food $44.21 A premium wild bird food blended to attract and feed the most desirable outdoor pets. Contains sunflower seeds safflower seeds peanuts dried cherries dried raisins and a blend of vitamins and supplements to attract cardinals songbirds titmice grosbeaks thrushes jays and other outdoor pets.

D D Commodities DDC379130 Wild Delight 13pound Inshell Peanuts $52.26 Premiumgrade whole inshell peanuts unprocessed and natural. Peanuts provide excellent nutrition and food for many species of wildlife and wild birds. Primary species: Squirrels Jays Wild Parrots Raccoons and other birds and outdoor pets.